SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
52.19% ( 1.59) | 25.16% ( -0.55) | 22.65% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.63% ( 1.13) | 53.37% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.09% ( 0.95) | 74.91% ( -0.95) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( 1.13) | 20.45% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.09% ( 1.76) | 52.9% ( -1.76) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( -0.36) | 38.58% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.67% ( -0.34) | 75.33% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.59% Total : 52.19% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.65% |
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