Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.
Result | ||
Bohemians | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
41.47% ( 0.11) | 26.32% ( 0.03) | 32.21% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 52.37% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.8% ( -0.15) | 52.2% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.09% ( -0.13) | 73.91% ( 0.13) |
Bohemians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.13% ( -0.01) | 24.87% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.53% ( -0.02) | 59.47% ( 0.02) |
St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% ( -0.16) | 30.3% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.52% ( -0.2) | 66.47% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Bohemians | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.21% |
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