SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Bohemians win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Bohemians |
53.25% ( -0.12) | 25.23% ( -0.01) | 21.52% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.27% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% ( 0.15) | 54.74% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.94% ( 0.12) | 76.06% ( -0.12) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( 0.01) | 20.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.91% ( 0.01) | 53.08% ( -0.01) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.51% ( 0.22) | 40.49% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.9% ( 0.19) | 77.09% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.24% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.52% |
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