SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Bohemians |
25.44% ( 0.9) | 25.08% ( 0.52) | 49.47% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.31% ( -1.37) | 50.69% ( 1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( -1.22) | 72.59% ( 1.22) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% ( 0.03) | 34.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.69% ( 0.03) | 71.3% ( -0.03) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( -1.12) | 20.51% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47% ( -1.81) | 53% ( 1.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 4% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.44% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.64% Total : 49.46% |
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