SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Cork City win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Cork City |
58.87% ( -0.03) | 23.05% ( 0.01) | 18.08% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.35% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.44% ( -0.03) | 50.56% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% ( -0.02) | 72.47% ( 0.02) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% ( -0.02) | 16.86% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.12% ( -0.03) | 46.88% ( 0.03) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.16% ( 0) | 41.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.7% | 78.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Cork City |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% 2-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 58.85% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 18.08% |
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