SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
37.36% ( -3.54) | 27.6% ( 0.2) | 35.03% ( 3.33) |
| Both teams to score 48.97% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.22% ( -0.23) | 56.78% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.28% ( -0.18) | 77.72% ( 0.18) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( -2.13) | 29.3% ( 2.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% ( -2.7) | 65.26% ( 2.69) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.26% ( 2.13) | 30.74% ( -2.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.99% ( 2.43) | 67% ( -2.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sligo Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.43)2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.8)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.52)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.36% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.68) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.74)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.35)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.41)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.03% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
