SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
54.27% ( 0.72) | 24.07% ( -0.02) | 21.66% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.86% ( -0.66) | 50.14% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.89% ( -0.59) | 72.11% ( 0.59) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% ( 0.03) | 18.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.48% ( 0.04) | 49.52% ( -0.04) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.26% ( -1.04) | 37.74% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.49% ( -1.03) | 74.51% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.26% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.61% Total : 21.66% |
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