SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cork City win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Cork City |
62.15% ( 0.03) | 22.71% ( 0) | 15.15% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.57% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.18% ( -0.05) | 53.82% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.72% ( -0.04) | 75.28% ( 0.04) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% ( -0) | 16.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.1% ( -0.01) | 46.9% ( 0.02) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.42% ( -0.07) | 47.58% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.07% ( -0.05) | 82.93% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Cork City |
| 1-0 @ 14.28% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 62.14% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 5.96% 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.15% |
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