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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 19.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shelbourne |
55.62% ( 4.4) | 24.83% ( -1.57) | 19.55% ( -2.83) |
| Both teams to score 45.69% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.6% ( 2.7) | 55.39% ( -2.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.4% ( 2.17) | 76.6% ( -2.17) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( 2.94) | 19.87% ( -2.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.02% ( 4.53) | 51.98% ( -4.53) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.02% ( -1.45) | 42.97% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.73% ( -1.25) | 79.27% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 13.79% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.8)2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.91)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.59)4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.54)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.39)Other @ 3.56% Total : 55.6% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.65) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.93)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -1.11) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.49)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.61)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.87% Total : 19.55% |
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