Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 42.25%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 28.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 1-0 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.