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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4
Mar 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Waterford Regional Sports Centre
SP

Waterford
3 - 1
St Patrick's

Amond (7', 41'), Asamoah (70')
Amond (56'), McDonald (77'), Power (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Breslin (34')
Lennon (56')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Waterford United and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galway United 2-1 Waterford
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-1 St Patrick's
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.

Result
Waterford UnitedDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
43.35% (0.302 0.3) 26.04% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 30.62% (-0.361 -0.36)
Both teams to score 52.63% (-0.369 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.43% (-0.402 -0.4)51.57% (0.409 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (-0.352 -0.35)73.37% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)23.65% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.25% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)57.75% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.455 -0.45)31.07% (0.462 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.539 -0.54)67.39% (0.54599999999999 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Waterford United 43.34%
    St Patrick's Athletic 30.62%
    Draw 26.03%
Waterford UnitedDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.34%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.119 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Galway United 2-1 Waterford
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 1-4 Waterford
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 1-1 Shelbourne
Friday, February 16 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 0-0 St Patrick's
Friday, November 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Longford Town 1-1 Waterford
Saturday, November 13 at 7.30pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 1-3 Shamrock
Friday, November 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-1 St Patrick's
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-1 Bohemians
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Galway United 0-1 St Patrick's
Friday, February 16 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 3-0 St Patrick's
Friday, November 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-2 Shamrock
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-0 Sligo
Monday, October 23 at 7.30pm in League of Ireland Premier


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