SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Waterford United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
43.35% ( 0.3) | 26.04% ( 0.07) | 30.62% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 52.63% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.43% ( -0.4) | 51.57% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.63% ( -0.35) | 73.37% ( 0.36) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( -0.03) | 23.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% ( -0.04) | 57.75% ( 0.05) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( -0.45) | 31.07% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% ( -0.54) | 67.39% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Waterford United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.34% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.62% |
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