Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 69.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 10.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.51%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
