Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 54.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.7%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Waterford United win it was 1-0 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.