Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.