Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
40.11% | 26.25% | 33.63% |
Both teams to score 53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.42% | 51.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% | 73.37% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% | 25.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% | 60.06% |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.94% | 29.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.03% | 64.97% |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.11% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.63% |
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