Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.