SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 40.63% | 25.52% | 33.84% |
| Both teams to score 55.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.59% | 48.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.45% | 70.54% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% | 23.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.32% | 57.68% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% | 27.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.15% | 62.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.63% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.84% |
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