Port Vale
5 - 1
Accrington

Wilson (30', 73', 79'), Cass (85'), Lloyd (90+3')
Gibbons (36'), Jones (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hamilton (85')
Conneely (79')
Bishop (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Port Vale and Accrington Stanley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Accrington Stanley
34.52%	26.13%	39.34%

Both teams to score 53.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.09%

50.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.22%

72.78%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83%

28.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14%

63.86%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6%

25.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.8%

60.2%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 34.52%

Accrington Stanley 39.34%

Draw 26.13%

Port Vale	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.52%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.34%