Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
