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FT
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Highbury Stadium
AS

Fleetwood
1 - 4
Accrington

Garner (37' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pell (23'), Hamilton (42'), Leigh (50'), Nottingham (86')
Scully (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawAccrington Stanley
35.65%24.48%39.87%
Both teams to score 59.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67%43.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.27%65.73%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07%23.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85%58.15%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24%21.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06%54.94%
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 35.65%
    Accrington Stanley 39.87%
    Draw 24.47%
Fleetwood TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 8.12%
1-0 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 35.65%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-1 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 3.08%
1-4 @ 1.68%
2-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.87%

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