SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 35.65% | 24.48% | 39.87% |
| Both teams to score 59.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.67% | 43.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.27% | 65.73% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% | 23.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.85% | 58.15% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% | 21.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.06% | 54.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-1 @ 8.12% 1-0 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.06% Total : 35.65% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-1 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 4.4% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.87% |
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