We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Cheltenham Town
These two sides have drawn plenty of matches in recent weeks, and we were close to backing another stalemate on Tuesday night. Wimbledon are due a victory, though, and we believe that the home side will edge a tight contest to secure a vital three points here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
