MK Dons
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

O'Riley (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Guinness-Walker (23')
Guinness-Walker (36')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: MK Dons 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

Despite their contrasting scenarios, these two sides have produced similar form of late. With that in mind, and the hostility between the clubs, we expect a competitive draw to play out in Milton Keynes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
55.16%	23.39%	21.45%

Both teams to score 52.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.45%

47.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.24%

69.75%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9%

17.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.7%

47.29%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.52%

36.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.74%

73.26%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 55.15%

AFC Wimbledon 21.45%

Draw 23.38%

MK Dons	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.73% 3-1 @ 5.78% 3-0 @ 5.73% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.92% Total : 55.15%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.38%	0-1 @ 6.29% 1-2 @ 5.6% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.45%