Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.
