We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Shrewsbury Town
Wimbledon have struggled at home this season, while Shrewsbury have found it difficult to pick up positive results on their travels, so it is tough to call this match. Neither manager would be too pleased with a point, but we are finding it hard to separate them and have therefore settled on a low-scoring draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
