Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
