Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.