Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wrexham in this match.
0.08) 
-0.08) 
