In the midst of a five-game winless run, Barnsley will not be looking forward to the visit of promotion contenders Birmingham on Saturday afternoon.
Blues' attack is set to be blunted by the absence of Anderson, but we feel that the visitors should manage to grind out a narrow victory in South Yorkshire.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.03) 
