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League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
WL

Wrexham
2 - 1
Wigan

Barnett (60'), Fletcher (90+1')
Parkinson (28'), Barnett (61'), McClean (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hugill (79')
Adeeko (27'), Aimson (77'), Weir (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Blackpool
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Wigan
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 2-0 Wigan Athletic

Both sides will come into the game with confidence from their form, though it is difficult to ignore the consistency of Wrexham's results. Additionally, the Red Dragons' excellent defence may prove too strong for the Latics to breach, and this makes a win for the hosts on Sunday seem almost inevitable. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawWigan Athletic
44.91% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 27.43% (0.0010000000000012 0) 27.66% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.88% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)58.18% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)78.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)60.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)36.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)73.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 44.9%
    Wigan Athletic 27.66%
    Draw 27.43%
WrexhamDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.86%
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 9.5%
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 27.66%

Read more!
Head to Head
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Blackpool
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-2 Cambridge
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Crewe
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Wigan
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Wigan
Saturday, December 14 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Wigan
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wigan 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Wigan
Tuesday, December 3 at 8pm in League One


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