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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
B

Exeter
1 - 2
Barnsley

Magennis (13')
Caldwell (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nwakali (49'), Keillor-Dunn (58')
McCarthy (11'), Pines (90+1'), Lofthouse (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Barnsley

Saturday's contest promises to be a hard-fought one between two sides desperate to end slumps in their form. Even without Phillips, Barnsley's quality should be enough to get them over the line and trigger an improvement beginning at St James Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBarnsley
34.71% (0.0020000000000024 0) 24.93% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 40.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 57.72% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.00099999999999056 0)25.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)60.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5%22.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94%56.06% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 34.71%
    Barnsley 40.36%
    Draw 24.92%
Exeter CityDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.72%
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 6.39%
1-3 @ 4.34%
0-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-0 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-0 Bristol Rovers (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Reading
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Wigan
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One


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