Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.