Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oxford United in this match.