Rovers may have the advantage in league position, but the momentum is with Burton ahead of this clash.
The fact that the Brewers have been so strong both in 2025 and on the road in general for the past few months is difficult to ignore, and the visitors will likely take another step towards survival with three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
0.14) 
-0.08) 
