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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
BR
Bristol Rovers

Ipswich
3 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Phillips (18'), Clarke (24'), Taylor (37')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ward (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Ipswich
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Bristol Rovers

With last year's Maidstone nightmare in the back of their minds, Ipswich should be fully concentrated on avoiding another major FA Cup upset this weekend. Bristol Rovers have struggled to pose an attacking threat in the third tier of late, so we find it hard to envisage the Gas pulling up any trees at Portman Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBristol Rovers
48.8% (0.979 0.98) 23.78% (-0.319 -0.32) 27.42% (-0.663 -0.66)
Both teams to score 58.02% (0.566 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.42% (0.979 0.98)43.57% (-0.982 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.03% (0.955 0.95)65.97% (-0.956 -0.96)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (0.76700000000001 0.77)17.99% (-0.769 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15% (1.3 1.3)48.85% (-1.302 -1.3)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (0.02600000000001 0.03)29.26% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (0.032999999999994 0.03)65.22% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 48.8%
    Bristol Rovers 27.43%
    Draw 23.77%
Ipswich TownDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.165 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.129 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.8%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 27.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Ipswich
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Chelsea
Monday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Ipswich
Friday, December 27 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ipswich 0-4 Newcastle
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ipswich 1-2 Bournemouth
Sunday, December 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Leyton Orient
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Bristol Rovers
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One


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