Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
48.8% ( 0.98) | 23.78% ( -0.32) | 27.42% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 58.02% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.42% ( 0.98) | 43.57% ( -0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.03% ( 0.95) | 65.97% ( -0.96) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.01% ( 0.77) | 17.99% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.15% ( 1.3) | 48.85% ( -1.3) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.74% ( 0.03) | 29.26% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.78% ( 0.03) | 65.22% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.63% Total : 48.8% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.35% Total : 27.43% |
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