Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
