SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Reading win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Reading |
68.97% ( -0.16) | 17.35% ( 0.07) | 13.68% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.66% ( -0.07) | 33.34% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.88% ( -0.08) | 55.12% ( 0.08) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.24% ( -0.06) | 8.76% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.9% ( -0.13) | 30.1% ( 0.13) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.14% ( 0.09) | 36.85% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.36% ( 0.09) | 73.64% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Reading |
| 2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 68.97% | 1-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.35% | 1-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 13.68% |
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