Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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