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League One | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
PV

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Port Vale


Nsiala (28'), Hamer (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Loft (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Port Vale

Both teams will be gunning for victory as they look to boost their survival hopes, but with the two sides finding wins hard to come by, we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPort Vale
37.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 49.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.04%55.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (0.00099999999999767 0)77.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.59% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65%30.35% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.54% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 37.6%
    Port Vale 35%
    Draw 27.38%
Burton AlbionDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.6%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 6.2%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Peterborough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Port Vale
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One


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