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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
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Burton Albion
0 - 3
Stockport


Bennett (10'), Watt (24'), Armer (61'), Norwood (61')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bate (30'), Barry (42', 59')
Horsfall (63'), Wootton (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Stockport County

Stockport have adapted well to life in League One, and while Burton have improved under Hounsell, we expect the visitors to take the points this weekend. With Barry spearheading the attack, the Hatters should have too much firepower for a leaky Burton defence to cope with. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawStockport County
32.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.81%41.53%
Both teams to score 54.15% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)49.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.94% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)64.76% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 32.65%
    Stockport County 41.53%
    Draw 25.81%
Burton AlbionDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 8.55%
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32.65%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 9.87%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-2 @ 7.08%
1-3 @ 4.2%
0-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Northampton 2-5 Burton Albion
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Crawley
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-3 Wycombe
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 0-5 Wycombe
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stockport 4-1 Reading
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One


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