Though both sides have struggled this season, Crawley are in somewhat better form of late and should head into Tuesday's clash with a degree of confidence.
It would not be surprising if Burton conceded first, and while they may have moments of good attacking play, it is difficult to see them claiming all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.06) 
