Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%).
4.94) 
-6.08) 
