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League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
CA

Cambridge
1 - 2
Charlton

Jones (72')
Bennett (27'), Seddon (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Leaburn (14'), Rak-Sakyi (28')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-4 Charlton
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 0-1 Charlton Athletic

Neither side has been particularly impressive in recent weeks, but we expect Charlton to do just enough to secure the three points, plunging Cambridge into real danger of being relegated. The Addicks managed to record a narrow 1-0 away victory against struggling Forest Green Rovers last month, and it would not be a surprise to see a similar scoreline on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
31.08% (0.975 0.98) 26.46% (-0.241 -0.24) 42.46% (-0.736 -0.74)
Both teams to score 51.5% (1.167 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (1.296 1.3)53.12% (-1.299 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (1.09 1.09)74.69% (-1.093 -1.09)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (1.366 1.37)31.54% (-1.368 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (1.547 1.55)67.93% (-1.549 -1.55)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (0.205 0.2)24.77% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.66% (0.287 0.29)59.34% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 31.08%
    Charlton Athletic 42.46%
    Draw 26.46%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 2% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.08%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.408 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 10.9% (-0.5 -0.5)
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.301 -0.3)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.097 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-4 Charlton
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Charlton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One


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