Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 76.17%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 8.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.99%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
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