Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.