For all of their struggles away from home, Derby have been outstanding at Pride Park, and it makes them clear favourites to claim three points from this fixture. While Bristol City possess a greater sense of belief off the back of their recent improvements, the Rams should have enough to come through this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Bristol City
52.84%	23.98%	23.18%

Both teams to score 53.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83%

48.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68%

70.32%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82%

18.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.83%

49.18%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.81%

35.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.06%

71.94%

Score Analysis

Derby County 52.83%

Bristol City 23.18%

Draw 23.98%

Derby County	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.41% Total : 52.83%	1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 3.49% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.01% Total : 23.18%