Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 30.8% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.67%).
