Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
