A closely-fought contest is set to be played out between two strong third-tier teams who will both fancy their chances of progressing to the next round. With little to separate these two sides, they may be forced to settle the tie on penalties and we feel that Plymouth may edge through in front of their home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Peterborough United
34.57% ( 0.41)	26.04% ( 0.1)	39.38% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 53.87% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45% (

-0.38)

50.54% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53% (

-0.33)

72.46% (

0.34)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.03% (

0.07)

27.97% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.4% (

0.09)

63.6% (

-0.09)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.79% (

-0.44)

25.21% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.05% (

-0.62)

59.95% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 34.57%

Peterborough United 39.38%

Draw 26.04%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Peterborough United
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.57%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.38%