Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.