SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 45.44% | 25.64% | 28.92% |
| Both teams to score 52.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% | 50.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% | 72.61% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% | 22.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.25% | 55.75% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% | 31.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.71% | 68.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.23% Total : 45.43% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.92% |
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