Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
