SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 28.25% | 25.5% | 46.24% |
| Both teams to score 52.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.48% | 50.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% | 72.44% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.75% | 32.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.25% | 68.74% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% | 21.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.93% | 55.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 7.97% 2-1 @ 6.86% 2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.25% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-2 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 4.68% 0-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.23% |
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