We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Lincoln City
With neither team in good form, there is a feeling that anything could happen in this match. While victory for Crewe could change the course of their season, we have to back the visitors to have slightly too much quality going forward to edge this contest by the odd goal in three.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
