Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
61.91% | 22.25% | 15.84% |
Both teams to score 46.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.08% | 50.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.21% | 72.8% |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.05% | 15.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.77% | 45.23% |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.12% | 44.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.16% | 80.84% |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 13.14% 2-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 5.91% 4-0 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.37% 5-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.95% Total : 61.91% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.24% | 0-1 @ 5.74% 1-2 @ 4.22% 0-2 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 1.13% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.43% Total : 15.84% |
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