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League One | Gameweek 23
Jan 19, 2021 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
BR

Crewe
3 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Kirk (4'), Wintle (23'), Lancashire (55')
Finney (31'), Offord (45'), Johnson (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ehmer (47'), McCormick (51')
McCormick (45+4'), Harries (58')
Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Bristol Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawBristol Rovers
49.31%24.86%25.83%
Both teams to score 53.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.53%49.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.49%71.51%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91%20.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67%52.33%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39%33.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74%70.25%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 49.3%
    Bristol Rovers 25.83%
    Draw 24.85%
Crewe AlexandraDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 49.3%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.75%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.36%
1-2 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 25.83%

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