Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
